And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–8 on winners spread MAE 7.4 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan State @ Michigan +12.6 143.7 87% 50–69 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +12.5 156.0 87% 70–81 ✓
TCU @ West Virginia +12.7 146.4 88% 67–76 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech +16.0 137.4 89% 54–81 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Cincinnati +2.9 147.2 66% 78–64 ✗
Canisius @ Siena +5.8 136.1 74% 66–73 ✓
Florida A&M @ North Carolina Central +0.2 128.1 44% 71–74 ✓
Stetson @ Bellarmine +5.5 143.3 72% 73–70 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +2.6 135.9 60% 72–60 ✗
Longwood @ Winthrop +14.3 140.8 87% 61–82 ✓
Nicholls @ McNeese -6.9 151.8 24% 80–67 ✓
UTEP @ Kansas +13.8 136.4 88% 62–67 ✓
Murray State @ Jacksonville State +0.8 138.6 56% 65–68 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Jackson State +5.9 127.1 73% 35–50 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M +6.8 137.1 79% 61–68 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +12.4 144.7 87% 78–80 ✓
Nebraska @ Iowa +16.3 155.0 89% 64–102 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma +2.5 146.6 63% 69–65 ✗
Arizona State @ Colorado +11.6 148.4 87% 61–75 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +7.2 143.7 78% 51–67 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +2.0 142.9 59% 60–65 ✓
UCF @ East Carolina -0.3 137.4 49% 64–60 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +14.2 146.7 88% 59–60 ✓
Alabama State @ Grambling +8.1 133.5 79% 68–91 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +14.1 150.9 87% 59–72 ✓
Southern Utah @ Portland State -0.6 145.0 42% 68–58 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +4.1 157.0 69% 67–70 ✓
Portland @ Santa Clara +11.4 145.9 85% 86–95 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +8.8 129.7 79% 59–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +13.9 127.0 87% 49–73 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -12.3 155.8 14% 92–67 ✓
Massachusetts @ Saint Louis +4.0 143.6 67% 72–86 ✓
Stetson @ Liberty +9.5 139.7 82% 64–77 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +3.6 143.4 66% 75–77 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +5.8 136.3 73% 43–53 ✓
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +10.5 141.0 86% 62–75 ✓
Dayton @ VCU +6.1 138.3 73% 68–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac +0.4 130.5 50% 66–64 ✗
Monmouth @ Rider -3.8 157.3 31% 65–62 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan +8.2 148.6 82% 79–74 ✗
Western Carolina @ The Citadel -0.5 155.9 49% 86–100 ✗
George Mason @ Davidson +2.3 133.8 56% 67–99 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +11.5 141.3 86% 54–63 ✓
Boston College @ Miami +2.4 144.2 64% 76–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan +3.7 129.6 65% 85–67 ✗
Kent State @ Buffalo +4.9 154.0 71% 67–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +1.4 136.9 57% 58–62 ✓
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +3.5 133.6 66% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.