Some is rich and some is poor and that's the way the world is / And I don't believe in lying back and saying how bad your life is. "Bankrobber" - The Clash
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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58–27 on winners spread MAE 8.7 85 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
VCU @ Dayton +0.8 146.9 55% 68–62 ✗
Pennsylvania @ Brown -3.6 139.7 34% 82–61 ✓
Western Michigan @ Kent State +10.8 158.4 84% 78–86 ✓
Central Michigan @ Ball State -0.3 136.7 53% 69–85 ✗
Buffalo @ Toledo +5.9 153.3 71% 78–99 ✓
Columbia @ Harvard +3.7 131.7 64% 71–81 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -1.3 151.6 42% 76–62 ✓
Valparaiso @ Bradley +2.4 141.8 64% 84–90 ✓
VMI @ UNC Greensboro +9.2 148.3 82% 70–84 ✓
West Georgia @ Queens University +7.2 158.5 79% 63–71 ✓
UCF @ West Virginia +2.0 139.7 60% 62–77 ✓
UT Martin @ Tennessee State +1.7 136.6 62% 55–68 ✓
Fairfield @ Saint Peter's +1.4 135.1 58% 74–55 ✗
Georgia Southern @ South Alabama +3.7 147.4 67% 94–85 ✗
St. John's @ Seton Hall -1.8 132.2 40% 72–65 ✓
Portland @ Washington State +4.5 146.7 71% 74–68 ✗
Miami (OH) @ Ohio -8.9 157.3 22% 110–108 ✓
Presbyterian @ Radford +1.2 140.4 59% 91–85 ✗
Denver @ North Dakota -2.6 157.6 40% 67–83 ✗
UNLV @ San Diego State +10.0 157.2 84% 86–89 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Illinois State +0.6 128.0 45% 74–52 ✗
Southeast Missouri State @ Morehead State -1.3 140.2 45% 61–66 ✗
San Diego @ Seattle U +8.7 137.4 83% 56–58 ✓
Houston @ Oklahoma State -10.6 146.0 16% 82–75 ✓
Arkansas @ Missouri -5.3 164.2 36% 88–84 ✓
Davidson @ St. Bonaventure +0.4 138.5 50% 68–63 ✗
Butler @ DePaul +1.6 141.9 59% 81–71 ✗
Xavier @ Villanova +12.1 151.8 86% 78–91 ✓
Notre Dame @ Boston College -3.4 141.6 42% 69–77 ✗
Georgia Tech @ Clemson +15.1 142.9 89% 76–79 ✓
Louisiana Tech @ Delaware -0.1 137.2 44% 81–38 ✓
Virginia Tech @ Virginia +11.7 150.6 86% 72–76 ✓
Campbell @ Stony Brook -1.4 142.6 39% 96–89 ✓
Stonehill @ Mercyhurst +5.4 134.8 70% 51–56 ✓
The Citadel @ East Tennessee State +14.3 141.0 88% 76–83 ✓
UNC Asheville @ High Point +12.5 149.2 87% 71–75 ✓
UConn @ Marquette -11.5 141.5 17% 62–68 ✗
La Salle @ Saint Joseph's +8.8 135.8 82% 76–88 ✓
South Carolina @ Ole Miss +4.9 146.6 75% 64–61 ✗
UAlbany @ UMass Lowell +2.3 141.0 67% 76–81 ✓
New Hampshire @ UMBC +14.3 138.2 88% 69–84 ✓
Arizona State @ Iowa State +13.9 147.5 88% 65–86 ✓
Kansas State @ Kansas +14.0 153.6 88% 85–104 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Tennessee +3.6 150.0 71% 86–82 ✗
Louisville @ Miami +0.8 154.0 61% 92–89 ✗
Cornell @ Dartmouth -1.4 157.5 41% 111–90 ✓
George Washington @ Loyola Chicago -12.2 147.2 15% 62–68 ✗
Rhode Island @ Fordham +0.3 131.3 48% 49–61 ✓
Richmond @ Duquesne +3.0 146.3 68% 77–79 ✓
Cincinnati @ TCU +2.9 140.3 68% 63–73 ✓
SMU @ Florida State -2.5 159.4 44% 78–91 ✗
Princeton @ Yale +13.9 139.8 87% 53–78 ✓
Western Kentucky @ Florida International -0.3 157.5 45% 67–92 ✗
Sam Houston @ Liberty +1.1 154.1 54% 72–79 ✓
Bryant @ Vermont +13.5 135.2 88% 57–77 ✓
Wagner @ Long Island University +8.1 140.0 80% 56–64 ✓
Stanford @ NC State +7.4 154.4 74% 85–84 ✗
Northeastern @ Drexel +3.1 134.8 62% 77–84 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Wofford +3.2 154.9 71% 75–72 ✗
Presbyterian @ Winthrop +8.4 143.1 81% 71–73 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Missouri State +0.6 146.8 53% 75–63 ✗
Jacksonville State @ UTEP -0.0 137.1 51% 64–61 ✓
Georgia @ Mississippi State -8.0 165.7 19% 102–96 ✓
Drake @ UIC +4.3 143.2 74% 51–72 ✓
Wisconsin @ Purdue +7.7 154.8 75% 97–93 ✗
Florida @ Kentucky -4.6 154.5 34% 84–77 ✓
Saint Louis @ George Mason -6.1 144.2 26% 57–86 ✗
New Mexico @ Utah State +5.7 152.0 75% 90–94 ✓
Florida Atlantic @ Wichita State +6.5 149.4 77% 70–88 ✓
Boise State @ Colorado State +0.7 144.9 53% 78–67 ✗
California @ Wake Forest +2.2 150.5 59% 73–80 ✓
Kennesaw State @ New Mexico State +2.5 154.9 64% 76–79 ✓
Maine @ NJIT +4.0 131.5 66% 58–60 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Syracuse +4.8 141.3 71% 71–69 ✗
Wyoming @ San José State -6.6 145.4 26% 88–78 ✓
Utah @ Baylor +10.9 151.9 84% 75–101 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ Central Arkansas +3.6 147.2 74% 63–73 ✓
Indiana @ Ohio State +4.7 146.2 72% 78–91 ✓
Texas A&M @ LSU -0.9 165.2 46% 94–91 ✓
Furman @ Samford -0.5 144.4 51% 86–81 ✓
Marist @ Quinnipiac -0.3 133.2 55% 77–75 ✓
Hampton @ Towson +4.7 128.4 74% 68–74 ✓
Northern Iowa @ Bradley -1.8 130.9 40% 73–69 ✓
North Carolina @ Duke +16.7 144.0 88% 61–76 ✓
Southern Miss @ App State +1.4 136.2 58% 86–73 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.