I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Baseline Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–14 on winners spread MAE 8.7 54 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Cal State Bakersfield @ Cal Poly +9.5 162.0 85% 76–108 ✓
UT Arlington @ Abilene Christian -1.9 132.8 42% 64–57 ✓
Northern Arizona @ Idaho State +3.4 140.2 70% 65–73 ✓
Queens University @ Austin Peay +1.8 155.5 56% 90–83 ✗
Providence @ Georgetown +1.8 159.6 62% 79–80 ✓
Fresno State @ Grand Canyon +10.5 139.5 83% 60–85 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ Cal State Northridge +3.1 161.8 69% 90–77 ✗
UC Davis @ UC Irvine +5.9 143.8 73% 69–79 ✓
Omaha @ North Dakota State +10.9 144.5 85% 50–74 ✓
Auburn @ Alabama +8.1 175.1 78% 84–96 ✓
Oklahoma @ Texas +6.3 158.1 73% 88–85 ✗
California Baptist @ Southern Utah -7.8 142.8 20% 82–75 ✓
Western Carolina @ Mercer +2.5 152.2 61% 77–73 ✗
Elon @ William & Mary +5.6 156.6 77% 62–72 ✓
Mount St. Mary's @ Siena +4.8 131.1 70% 58–63 ✓
UCLA @ USC -3.3 148.8 38% 89–68 ✓
Northwestern @ Minnesota +2.4 134.4 65% 66–67 ✓
UC San Diego @ UC Santa Barbara +0.5 144.4 49% 64–63 ✗
Utah Valley @ Utah Tech -3.7 141.9 34% 104–101 ✓
Portland @ San Francisco +5.0 143.8 72% 65–82 ✓
Morehead State @ Tennessee State +3.7 143.2 71% 67–93 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Coastal Carolina +1.1 148.6 61% 96–72 ✗
Air Force @ Nevada +24.3 140.1 91% 59–74 ✓
Sacramento State @ Idaho +5.9 151.6 71% 45–68 ✓
Texas Tech @ BYU +0.4 157.4 48% 76–82 ✓
North Dakota @ St. Thomas-Minnesota +11.2 150.1 86% 67–66 ✗
Arizona @ Colorado -13.2 156.0 12% 89–79 ✓
Washington @ Oregon -2.1 139.7 45% 79–85 ✗
Seattle U @ Pacific -0.1 129.8 45% 58–61 ✗
Long Beach State @ Hawai'i +12.3 149.3 87% 84–75 ✗
Penn State @ Rutgers +3.3 148.2 70% 62–74 ✓
Colgate @ Lehigh +0.6 149.0 57% 69–76 ✓
Campbell @ UNC Wilmington +7.0 143.2 79% 85–70 ✗
Winthrop @ High Point +6.0 156.6 69% 76–91 ✓
Northern Iowa @ UIC -1.1 128.6 36% 84–69 ✓
Memphis @ Tulane -1.1 147.0 46% 96–95 ✓
Charlotte @ South Florida +14.3 155.7 88% 60–83 ✓
Boston University @ Navy +10.7 138.2 84% 73–72 ✗
Queens University @ Central Arkansas +2.5 155.0 58% 98–93 ✗
Illinois @ Maryland -17.4 144.0 14% 78–72 ✓
Temple @ Tulsa +14.7 151.4 87% 76–78 ✓
UTSA @ Rice +10.6 146.6 85% 71–80 ✓
East Carolina @ UAB +11.5 146.5 86% 83–90 ✓
Drexel @ Monmouth +2.3 134.1 62% 57–65 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Green Bay -0.9 142.1 46% 96–76 ✓
Western Carolina @ East Tennessee State +5.2 145.8 70% 67–69 ✓
Michigan State @ Michigan +13.5 147.1 86% 80–90 ✓
Iowa @ Nebraska +6.8 132.1 76% 75–84 ✓
Houston Christian @ New Orleans +3.8 138.5 70% 60–73 ✓
Towson @ Charleston +0.9 130.1 58% 81–56 ✗
Southern Miss @ Troy +2.7 144.2 64% 70–78 ✓
Marist @ Merrimack +0.8 129.2 53% 57–58 ✓
UNC Greensboro @ Furman +7.3 146.0 78% 75–81 ✓
Idaho State @ Portland State +4.5 140.3 73% 78–85 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.