Betting Lines
| Spread | MRMK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Under |
| Money | MRMK -162 MRST +136 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MRMK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +1 | 115 | Won |
| Massey | MRST -0.1 (+1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.1 (-10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MRMK -0.9 (+0.1) | 124.2 (-9.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MRMK -0.7 (+0.3) | 130.0 (-15.0) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MRMK -1.0 (+0.0) | 128.1 (-13.1) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MRMK -0.9 (+0.1) | 126.6 (-11.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | MRMK 81 – 56 MRST |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MRMK 68 – 55 MRST |
| Mar 7, 2025 | MRMK 75 – 53 MRST |
| Feb 16, 2025 | MRST 61 – 60 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MRMK | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-8 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.5 | 68.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.5 | 63.9 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#188) | -1.4 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#131) | -0.25 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#142) | -0.43 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.549 (#78) | 0.501 (#186) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MRMK | MRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.36 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 15.0% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 30.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 45.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 60.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.6% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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