Betting Lines
| Spread | ACU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | ACU -115 UTA -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ACU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTA +7 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | UTA -2.2 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.8 (-7.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTA -1.9 (-5.1) | 132.8 (-11.8) | 42% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTA -1.0 (-6.0) | 130.7 (-9.7) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTA -2.2 (-4.8) | 132.1 (-11.1) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTA -1.7 (-5.3) | 132.5 (-11.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | ACU 67 – 63 UTA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UTA 82 – 72 ACU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | ACU 70 – 59 UTA |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UTA 79 – 76 ACU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | ACU 78 – 67 UTA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ACU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 9-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#258) | -0.5 (#171) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#217) | 0.33 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#211) | 0.39 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#228) | 0.516 (#138) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ACU | UTA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 21.2% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.6% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.8% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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