Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -850 UND +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +1 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -12.9 (-13.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -9.9 (-10.9) | 150.4 (-17.4) | 85% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -11.5 (-12.5) | 149.7 (-16.7) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -10.8 (-11.8) | 149.3 (-16.3) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -11.5 (-12.5) | 149.8 (-16.8) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | UND 81 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 85 – 69 UND |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 UND |
| Jan 4, 2025 | STMN 88 – 80 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#103) | -7.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#124) | -0.79 (#239) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#114) | -1.28 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#87) | 0.487 (#214) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.74 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.0% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 31.9% |
Game Analysis
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