Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -360 UND +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +16 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -8.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -7.7 (+8.3) | 154.9 (-0.9) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -6.2 (+9.8) | 154.8 (-0.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -7.8 (+8.2) | 155.6 (-1.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -7.9 (+8.1) | 154.7 (-0.7) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UND 67 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UND 81 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 UND |
| Jan 4, 2025 | STMN 88 – 80 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#120) | -5.6 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.55 (#126) | -1.27 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#132) | -1.58 (#283) |
| RPI | 0.543 (#91) | 0.439 (#301) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.1% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.53 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.1% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 21.6% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 56.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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