Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | STMN -550 UND +380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STMN +15 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | STMN -12.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 164.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -11.4 (+3.6) | 161.4 (-4.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -10.0 (+5.0) | 159.2 (-2.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -10.6 (+4.4) | 159.5 (-2.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -10.4 (+4.6) | 160.5 (-3.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UND 67 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UND 81 – 80 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 85 – 69 UND |
| Jan 4, 2025 | STMN 88 – 80 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 5-11 |
| Home | 14-0 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 82.2 |
| Massey | 2.7 (#119) | -6.3 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#129) | -1.37 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#134) | -1.78 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.432 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 39.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 30.1 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.51 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.4% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 21.1% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.5% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.9% | 57.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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