Betting Lines
| Spread | STMN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | STMN -850 UND +575 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STMN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UND +1 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | STMN -13.8 (-14.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.2 (+5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | STMN -11.8 (-12.8) | 151.3 (+9.7) | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STMN -12.8 (-13.8) | 150.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | STMN -11.2 (-12.2) | 150.1 (+10.9) | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | STMN -11.7 (-12.7) | 151.0 (+10.0) | 87% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UND 67 – 66 STMN |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STMN 91 – 80 UND |
| Mar 9, 2025 | STMN 85 – 69 UND |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STMN 86 – 71 UND |
| Jan 4, 2025 | STMN 88 – 80 UND |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 8-7 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.1 | 79.6 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#123) | -7.6 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.78 (#99) | -1.02 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.85 (#109) | -1.39 (#258) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#91) | 0.464 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STMN | UND |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.2% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.6 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.2% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 21.3% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 68.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 33.5% |
Game Analysis
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