Betting Lines
| Spread | ALA -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 175.5 Over |
| Money | ALA -278 AUB +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ALA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ALA +12 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | ALA -8.4 (+3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 180.0 (+0.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ALA -8.1 (+3.9) | 175.1 (+4.9) | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ALA -8.0 (+4.0) | 178.9 (+1.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ALA -9.7 (+2.3) | 173.5 (+6.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ALA -9.4 (+2.6) | 174.0 (+6.0) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | ALA 96 – 92 AUB |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ALA 93 – 91 AUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AUB 94 – 85 ALA |
| Feb 8, 2024 | AUB 99 – 81 ALA |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ALA 79 – 75 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ALA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 22-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 12-3 | 14-4 |
| Away | 7-3 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | W5 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.2 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.7 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 19.6 (#14) | 14.1 (#40) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.23 (#17) | 1.98 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.00 (#17) | 2.83 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.636 (#8) | 0.576 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ALA | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.2% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 40.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.6% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 13.3% | 14.7% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 38.3% |
| FT Rate | 28.6% | 34.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.5% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.