Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -250 ALA +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +18 | 180 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -1.2 (+16.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -3.5 (+14.5) | 161.9 (+18.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -3.6 (+14.4) | 170.8 (+9.2) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -3.8 (+14.2) | 167.1 (+12.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -3.5 (+14.5) | 165.6 (+14.4) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | ALA 96 – 84 AUB |
| Feb 7, 2026 | ALA 96 – 92 AUB |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ALA 93 – 91 AUB |
| Feb 15, 2025 | AUB 94 – 85 ALA |
| Jan 25, 2024 | ALA 79 – 75 AUB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 25-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 15-1 | 14-2 |
| Away | 5-5 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 7-2 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.1 | 90.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 18.8 (#8) | 20.9 (#4) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.69 (#10) | 2.56 (#16) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.46 (#8) | 3.28 (#11) |
| RPI | 0.626 (#14) | 0.633 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | ALA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 48.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 38.2% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.72 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 57.7% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 34.0% | 35.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.5% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.2% | 48.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.