Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OKST +700 HOU -1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OKST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +7 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | HOU -10.9 (+3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -10.6 (+3.6) | 146.0 (+11.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HOU -10.1 (+3.1) | 145.5 (+11.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | HOU -9.2 (+2.2) | 148.1 (+8.9) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -8.7 (+1.7) | 147.5 (+9.5) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2025 | HOU 72 – 63 OKST |
| Dec 31, 2024 | HOU 60 – 47 OKST |
| Feb 7, 2024 | HOU 79 – 63 OKST |
| Dec 19, 2021 | HOU 72 – 61 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OKST | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 30-7 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 15-6 | 15-1 |
| Away | 3-7 | 6-3 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 9-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.9 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 62.3 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#69) | 22.5 (#7) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#46) | 3.76 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#48) | 4.75 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.554 (#72) | 0.634 (#12) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OKST | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 30.6% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.7% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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