Betting Lines
| Spread | HOU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOU +11 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | HOU -12.4 (-1.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (-2.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOU -13.9 (-2.9) | 142.3 (-9.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | HOU -11.3 (-0.3) | 139.3 (-6.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | HOU -12.6 (-1.6) | 142.1 (-9.1) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOU -13.2 (-2.2) | 143.6 (-10.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | HOU 82 – 75 OKST |
| Feb 5, 2025 | HOU 72 – 63 OKST |
| Dec 31, 2024 | HOU 60 – 47 OKST |
| Feb 7, 2024 | HOU 79 – 63 OKST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 15-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 8-10 |
| Home | 16-1 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 9-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 58.8 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 20.5 (#4) | 8.1 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#42) | 1.01 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.47 (#28) | 1.27 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.590 (#49) | 0.562 (#81) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 40.1 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.9% |
| ORB% | 38.4% | 34.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.8% | 44.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.3% | 25.9% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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