Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | NMSU -125 KENN +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NMSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +3 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -2.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.3 (-5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -1.8 (+1.2) | 153.1 (+1.9) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -1.9 (+1.1) | 151.3 (+3.7) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -1.6 (+1.4) | 153.7 (+1.3) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -2.5 (+0.5) | 154.9 (+0.1) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | KENN 76 – 53 NMSU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | KENN 80 – 77 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NMSU 60 – 49 KENN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | KENN 69 – 56 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NMSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 3-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 78.2 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#177) | -0.3 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#224) | -0.06 (#168) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.33 (#188) | -0.10 (#171) |
| RPI | 0.489 (#210) | 0.498 (#193) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NMSU | KENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.9% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.6% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.2% | 36.1% |
Game Analysis
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