Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
| Money | KENN -185 NMSU +154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +23 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | KENN -2.2 (+20.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (-34.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KENN -1.9 (+21.1) | 152.4 (-23.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KENN -2.1 (+20.9) | 152.4 (-23.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KENN -2.0 (+21.0) | 154.0 (-25.0) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KENN -1.8 (+21.2) | 154.6 (-25.6) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | NMSU 79 – 76 KENN |
| Mar 13, 2025 | KENN 80 – 77 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NMSU 60 – 49 KENN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | KENN 69 – 56 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-14 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 8-12 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 73.8 |
| Massey | -0.1 (#167) | 0.9 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#170) | -0.60 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#171) | -0.39 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.502 (#171) | 0.489 (#203) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 41.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 14.8 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 31.8% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.8% | 34.4% |
Game Analysis
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