Betting Lines
| Spread | KENN -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | KENN -120 NMSU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KENN +3 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | NMSU -0.7 (+3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (+21.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -0.2 (+3.2) | 137.8 (+19.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -0.7 (+3.7) | 134.2 (+22.8) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -1.0 (+4.0) | 133.9 (+23.1) | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -0.7 (+3.7) | 137.6 (+19.4) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | NMSU 79 – 76 KENN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | KENN 76 – 53 NMSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NMSU 60 – 49 KENN |
| Jan 24, 2025 | KENN 69 – 56 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KENN | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 10-8 |
| Home | 12-3 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.0 | 67.3 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#145) | 1.7 (#133) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#123) | 0.34 (#137) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#124) | 0.55 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#107) | 0.512 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KENN | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.9% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.1% |
| TOV% | 20.0% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 32.7% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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