Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | TCU -135 CIN +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TCU +10 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | TCU -2.3 (+7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TCU -3.5 (+6.5) | 139.6 (-3.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TCU -4.1 (+5.9) | 135.8 (+0.2) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TCU -3.5 (+6.5) | 137.9 (-1.9) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TCU -2.9 (+7.1) | 140.3 (-4.3) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | CIN 75 – 63 TCU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | TCU 75 – 57 CIN |
| Jan 17, 2024 | CIN 81 – 77 TCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 14-5 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 12.5 (#44) | 13.2 (#43) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#30) | 1.88 (#53) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.33 (#30) | 2.81 (#43) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#59) | 0.550 (#76) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | CIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.40 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.