Can I kick it? Yes you can. "Can I Kick It?" - A Tribe Called Quest
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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50–29 on winners spread MAE 9.2 79 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Canisius @ Siena +6.7 136.9 73% 76–75 ✗
Charlotte @ Marshall +14.3 141.8 90% 67–75 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Alabama -1.5 136.6 45% 81–96 ✗
Ball State @ Toledo +11.5 154.4 85% 70–89 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +4.8 135.6 67% 64–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Davis -1.0 146.2 46% 73–68 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -11.7 147.2 14% 72–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -11.3 146.0 15% 71–68 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +8.2 139.9 77% 71–69 ✗
UAB @ North Texas +6.0 123.9 71% 65–51 ✗
Samford @ Mercer +7.5 157.0 75% 59–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Belmont +6.6 149.8 73% 69–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest -8.6 142.2 22% 75–63 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +4.3 130.7 65% 65–47 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -10.0 146.7 18% 82–59 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego -0.1 154.8 50% 85–89 ✗
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +24.7 126.1 99% 57–71 ✓
Little Rock @ App State -1.8 135.5 43% 60–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech -8.5 139.2 22% 76–66 ✓
Colorado State @ Nevada -2.4 143.7 41% 82–85 ✗
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount -0.3 138.6 49% 66–70 ✗
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +8.5 136.4 78% 55–66 ✓
Troy @ UT Arlington +5.6 132.2 69% 91–86 ✗
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +9.0 139.9 79% 59–55 ✗
Seattle U @ California Baptist +3.8 151.3 64% 80–79 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State +0.8 144.0 53% 64–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pacific +3.0 133.9 61% 81–76 ✗
Florida State @ Notre Dame -6.0 155.7 29% 73–83 ✗
South Carolina @ Kentucky +8.5 148.1 78% 64–92 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +6.5 136.9 72% 76–68 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Bryant +12.1 158.2 86% 55–85 ✓
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +9.6 154.0 81% 72–80 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +9.3 136.8 80% 82–98 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota -0.7 141.9 48% 77–70 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Clemson +5.6 127.8 69% 62–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago +11.6 123.2 85% 49–65 ✓
South Florida @ Wichita State +12.0 141.9 86% 63–80 ✓
Mississippi State @ Auburn +2.2 144.9 58% 71–78 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +19.8 150.0 96% 69–77 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +3.9 142.3 64% 74–73 ✗
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +5.9 154.7 70% 85–80 ✗
Alabama @ Georgia -9.6 159.6 19% 89–79 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +6.1 135.9 71% 58–67 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +4.1 151.1 64% 59–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +7.6 136.8 75% 79–77 ✗
Charlotte @ Marshall +14.3 141.8 90% 66–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +4.6 156.9 66% 92–84 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Wagner +3.6 121.3 63% 66–60 ✗
Villanova @ Providence -5.7 142.1 30% 52–54 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga -1.9 132.6 43% 63–53 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State +3.4 158.3 62% 70–79 ✓
LSU @ Missouri -0.1 159.2 50% 86–80 ✓
Towson @ Elon +2.6 134.9 59% 48–69 ✓
American University @ Army +6.3 138.9 72% 66–89 ✓
Southern Utah @ Portland State -2.0 144.6 43% 73–54 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +12.5 137.4 87% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State -0.9 153.8 47% 73–68 ✓
Virginia @ Louisville -2.6 121.6 41% 68–58 ✓
Hartford @ Vermont +10.0 134.0 82% 71–65 ✗
Missouri State @ Drake +4.9 146.6 67% 69–71 ✓
USC @ UCLA -2.3 139.1 42% 64–63 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian +20.0 129.2 97% 60–85 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern +5.7 145.2 70% 74–80 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +17.6 136.5 94% 80–87 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +13.0 135.4 88% 73–93 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -16.3 162.2 7% 75–82 ✗
Iowa State @ Kansas State +1.6 132.8 56% 56–61 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +8.2 139.9 77% 57–60 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +6.0 123.9 71% 65–61 ✗
Lamar @ McNeese +0.1 145.0 50% 60–51 ✗
Mercer @ Wofford +1.3 146.3 55% 62–61 ✗
South Alabama @ Louisiana +1.4 149.8 55% 68–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure +0.8 132.6 53% 53–71 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina +3.5 150.3 63% 73–91 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian +5.0 146.1 68% 94–70 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston +1.5 153.1 55% 64–59 ✗
Arkansas State @ Georgia State +5.9 152.6 70% 68–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Jackson State +12.8 124.3 88% 54–79 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +15.6 156.6 92% 71–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.