I want the bomb, I want the P-Funk, I want my funk uncut. "P-Funk (Wants to Get Funked Up)" - Parliament
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Adjusted Efficiency (classic) — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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40–8 on winners spread MAE 7.0 48 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Michigan State @ Michigan +15.1 139.9 92% 50–69 ✓
Oklahoma State @ Baylor +14.6 154.8 91% 70–81 ✓
TCU @ West Virginia +14.6 146.7 91% 67–76 ✓
Iowa State @ Texas Tech +18.4 135.5 95% 54–81 ✓
Vanderbilt @ Cincinnati +1.2 148.6 54% 78–64 ✗
Canisius @ Siena +6.8 136.5 73% 66–73 ✓
Florida A&M @ North Carolina Central -0.6 126.0 48% 71–74 ✗
Stetson @ Bellarmine +5.9 144.6 71% 73–70 ✗
Florida Gulf Coast @ Lipscomb +4.1 137.1 65% 72–60 ✗
Longwood @ Winthrop +13.0 141.6 88% 61–82 ✓
Nicholls @ McNeese -8.3 154.8 23% 80–67 ✓
UTEP @ Kansas +15.1 135.8 92% 62–67 ✓
Murray State @ Jacksonville State -0.6 138.2 48% 65–68 ✗
Alabama A&M @ Jackson State +7.4 121.7 75% 35–50 ✓
Southern @ Prairie View A&M +7.9 136.3 76% 61–68 ✓
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern +12.1 146.0 87% 78–80 ✓
Nebraska @ Iowa +17.8 155.8 95% 64–102 ✓
Texas @ Oklahoma +1.6 146.7 56% 69–65 ✗
Arizona State @ Colorado +13.7 151.0 89% 61–75 ✓
San Diego @ San Francisco +9.8 143.5 81% 51–67 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +2.7 147.1 60% 60–65 ✓
UCF @ East Carolina -1.0 134.6 47% 64–60 ✓
Northern Colorado @ Weber State +14.1 147.8 90% 59–60 ✓
Alabama State @ Grambling +8.9 131.5 79% 68–91 ✓
Wyoming @ Utah State +17.1 152.1 94% 59–72 ✓
Southern Utah @ Portland State -0.9 147.0 47% 68–58 ✓
Austin Peay @ Eastern Kentucky +4.1 160.6 65% 67–70 ✓
Portland @ Santa Clara +13.9 144.8 90% 86–95 ✓
Duquesne @ St. Bonaventure +9.2 127.9 80% 59–75 ✓
Southern Illinois @ Loyola Chicago +16.4 123.6 93% 49–73 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -15.2 162.6 8% 92–67 ✓
Massachusetts @ Saint Louis +7.2 150.3 74% 72–86 ✓
Stetson @ Liberty +11.8 138.4 86% 64–77 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +4.2 140.5 65% 75–77 ✓
Evansville @ Indiana State +6.0 133.6 71% 43–53 ✓
Idaho State @ Eastern Washington +12.2 140.8 87% 62–75 ✓
Dayton @ VCU +6.6 136.1 73% 68–73 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Quinnipiac -1.0 124.8 46% 66–64 ✓
Monmouth @ Rider -5.8 162.1 30% 65–62 ✓
Northern Illinois @ Central Michigan +10.2 146.4 82% 79–74 ✗
Western Carolina @ The Citadel +0.0 165.5 50% 86–100 ✓
George Mason @ Davidson +4.9 134.3 67% 67–99 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Florida Atlantic +10.8 136.7 84% 54–63 ✓
Boston College @ Miami +1.5 145.2 55% 76–80 ✓
Fairfield @ Manhattan +6.1 125.9 71% 85–67 ✗
Kent State @ Buffalo +5.4 156.4 69% 67–81 ✓
Georgia Southern @ Arkansas State +2.7 140.6 60% 58–62 ✓
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +3.9 135.3 64% 72–80 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.