And of all my friends, you've been the best to me. / Soon will be the day when I repay you handsomely. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Baseline — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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61–21 on winners spread MAE 10.5 82 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Binghamton @ Fordham +14.5 143.9 88% 62–77 ✓
Fairleigh Dickinson @ Columbia +1.2 151.5 51% 76–73 ✗
Dartmouth @ Central Connecticut +2.9 136.6 64% 50–59 ✓
Queens University @ High Point +6.3 152.0 70% 87–79 ✗
Grambling @ Vanderbilt +4.6 135.0 62% 64–62 ✗
McNeese @ Northern Iowa +12.3 137.4 82% 52–49 ✗
Lipscomb @ Alabama A&M -6.1 150.3 36% 59–63 ✗
Washington @ Gonzaga +11.8 145.1 85% 60–77 ✓
Arkansas State @ Air Force +8.2 126.1 77% 55–80 ✓
Tulane @ Buffalo +0.4 152.2 54% 88–63 ✗
Penn State @ Illinois +12.1 146.2 84% 74–59 ✗
Vermont @ Colgate +6.8 145.4 72% 73–72 ✗
Drexel @ La Salle +3.3 136.0 62% 65–58 ✗
Long Island University @ UConn +34.8 145.6 91% 61–114 ✓
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Texas +27.2 143.4 91% 43–88 ✓
Oklahoma @ Arkansas +0.9 137.4 58% 78–88 ✓
Yale @ Kentucky +7.4 139.0 75% 59–69 ✓
Lafayette @ Quinnipiac +9.8 131.0 77% 63–76 ✓
Louisville @ Florida State +10.0 133.8 86% 53–75 ✓
Saint Peter's @ Saint Joseph's +4.0 140.0 67% 57–73 ✓
Temple @ Pennsylvania +1.8 146.0 61% 57–77 ✓
Radford @ VMI -5.5 149.5 29% 74–77 ✗
Georgetown @ Syracuse +7.3 145.2 76% 64–83 ✓
Canisius @ Toledo +13.0 157.1 87% 68–69 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ North Florida +6.1 148.6 72% 48–88 ✓
Evansville @ Ball State +11.6 138.0 85% 69–88 ✓
Holy Cross @ Northeastern +10.9 135.6 81% 58–59 ✓
NC State @ Miami +3.3 152.3 70% 73–80 ✓
UC Irvine @ South Dakota -7.3 137.1 26% 83–71 ✓
Drake @ Richmond +0.7 132.7 56% 52–82 ✓
Army @ Rhode Island +3.5 142.5 64% 67–77 ✓
Detroit Mercy @ Charlotte +10.2 137.7 79% 80–82 ✓
UNC Asheville @ Dayton +4.2 142.5 67% 56–79 ✓
Wake Forest @ LSU -0.5 144.6 48% 70–72 ✗
Purdue @ Nebraska -4.4 138.7 45% 65–62 ✓
UIC @ Western Michigan -0.9 142.8 45% 62–56 ✓
UAlbany @ Providence +17.8 148.8 89% 55–93 ✓
Alabama @ Houston +11.9 135.1 70% 71–65 ✗
Denver @ UCLA +20.7 153.1 90% 64–87 ✓
Saint Mary's @ San Diego State -2.8 132.2 41% 68–61 ✓
East Texas A&M @ Abilene Christian +1.1 140.1 58% 64–83 ✓
Western Illinois @ Eastern Illinois -4.3 136.4 31% 79–75 ✓
Central Michigan @ Tulsa +3.6 144.0 60% 63–70 ✓
Wofford @ Georgia Southern -3.6 139.2 35% 57–79 ✗
Lamar @ Southern Miss +22.9 140.2 91% 59–95 ✓
Kent State @ Cleveland State -2.7 132.8 36% 67–58 ✓
South Carolina State @ South Carolina Upstate +6.2 150.5 74% 84–89 ✓
Xavier @ Cincinnati -0.9 159.5 46% 80–77 ✓
Valparaiso @ Ole Miss +14.7 134.1 87% 61–98 ✓
Georgia Tech @ North Carolina +8.9 151.0 80% 59–75 ✓
Sacred Heart @ Pittsburgh +14.0 144.8 88% 66–91 ✓
SIU Edwardsville @ Illinois State -2.4 138.3 40% 71–77 ✗
Jacksonville @ UNC Wilmington +3.5 124.5 53% 53–81 ✓
Longwood @ Wichita State +4.8 133.8 67% 63–81 ✓
Utah Valley @ Northern Arizona -2.2 146.4 42% 80–75 ✓
American University @ George Washington +2.1 143.8 55% 69–64 ✗
UTSA @ New Mexico +20.5 145.6 90% 76–94 ✓
Norfolk State @ William & Mary +5.1 140.9 70% 67–53 ✗
Murray State @ Bellarmine -3.1 134.7 44% 58–69 ✗
Winthrop @ Furman +11.0 155.2 83% 67–82 ✓
UL Monroe @ Northwestern State +15.5 142.7 88% 73–91 ✓
Seattle U @ North Dakota -3.6 142.5 33% 80–78 ✓
Washington State @ UNLV +0.8 136.6 45% 70–74 ✓
Brown @ Michigan State +10.8 132.7 83% 50–68 ✓
San José State @ Santa Clara +8.3 138.9 78% 75–64 ✗
St. Francis Brooklyn @ UMass Lowell +23.4 139.2 91% 59–68 ✓
Fresno State @ Pacific +1.9 141.6 56% 72–76 ✓
Middle Tennessee @ Belmont +3.0 142.8 61% 85–75 ✗
Eastern Washington @ South Dakota State +6.7 138.5 77% 76–77 ✓
Butler @ California -9.0 129.7 22% 82–58 ✓
Boston College @ Villanova +2.2 136.8 61% 56–77 ✓
Auburn @ Memphis -1.1 131.3 48% 73–82 ✗
Kansas @ Missouri +3.0 159.9 56% 95–67 ✗
Maryland Eastern Shore @ Duke +24.1 134.1 91% 55–82 ✓
Morgan State @ UMBC +5.8 151.7 73% 63–75 ✓
North Texas @ Grand Canyon -2.7 122.8 29% 60–58 ✓
Tennessee Tech @ Troy +13.4 147.2 85% 64–87 ✓
Omaha @ Montana State +8.8 143.0 82% 54–82 ✓
New Hampshire @ St. John's +17.9 146.0 88% 51–64 ✓
UAB @ West Virginia +10.4 156.3 83% 70–81 ✓
Long Beach State @ Sacramento State +3.0 145.3 70% 74–76 ✓
UTEP @ DePaul +4.1 148.5 68% 70–91 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.