Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | COLU +110 FDU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +3 | 149 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -0.5 (-3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -1.4 (-4.4) | 148.4 (+0.6) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -0.6 (-3.6) | 149.2 (-0.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -1.2 (-4.2) | 151.5 (-2.5) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -0.1 (-3.1) | 148.8 (+0.2) | 43% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2023 | COLU 87 – 83 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-22 | 21-16 |
| Conference | 2-12 | 10-6 |
| Home | 6-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-13 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 75.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -11.4 (#339) | -6.7 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#330) | -1.41 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.16 (#327) | -1.89 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.364 (#347) | 0.384 (#333) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLU | FDU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.1% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 30.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.64 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 22.6% | 15.9% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 22.3% |
| DRB% | 66.3% | 62.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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