Betting Lines
| Spread | COLU -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.0 Over |
| Money | FDU +100 COLU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLU +4 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | COLU -2.9 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (+11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLU -1.5 (-2.5) | 153.0 (+17.0) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLU -1.2 (-2.8) | 151.2 (+18.8) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLU -1.6 (-2.4) | 151.3 (+18.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLU -1.9 (-2.1) | 153.3 (+16.7) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | FDU 76 – 73 COLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 13-14 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 4-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 73.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.4 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -8.9 (#317) | -1.1 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#209) | 0.38 (#149) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#252) | 0.59 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.438 (#267) | 0.487 (#189) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.18 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 71.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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