Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | SCU -350 SJSU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJSU +11 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -11.2 (-22.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.1 (-0.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -10.3 (-21.3) | 136.0 (+3.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SCU -8.2 (-19.2) | 138.8 (+0.2) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -8.3 (-19.3) | 138.9 (+0.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -9.1 (-20.1) | 136.4 (+2.6) | 76% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | SJSU 81 – 78 SCU |
| Dec 22, 2021 | SCU 79 – 57 SJSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SCU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-10 | 21-14 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-4 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-3 | 5-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 66.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.8 | 66.2 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#122) | -3.2 (#233) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#61) | 1.08 (#94) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.38 (#61) | 1.22 (#110) |
| RPI | 0.628 (#23) | 0.519 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SCU | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.1% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 47.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 12.0% |
| DRB% | 78.9% | 76.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 13.2% | 27.8% |
Game Analysis
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