If I had my time again / I would do it all the same. "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Provident Credit Union Event Center · December 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread SCU -5.0 Home covered
O/U 147.0 Over
Money SJSU +162 / SCU -195
Model Predictions
Spread Total SJSU win
Actual SJSU +3 159 Won
Massey SJSU -1.8 (+1.2) — —
Massey Totals — 145.0 (+14.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 38% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 37% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SJSU -1.8 (+1.2) 145.0 (+14.0) 59% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SJSU -2.9 (+0.1) 145.9 (+13.1) 61% ✓
Baseline ML SJSU -2.3 (+0.7) 146.5 (+12.5) 61% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SJSU -3.1 (-0.1) 145.9 (+13.1) 63% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2022 SJSU 75 – 64 SCU
Dec 22, 2021 SCU 79 – 57 SJSU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SJSU SCU
Overall 9-23 20-13
Conference 2-16 10-6
Home 6-9 11-4
Away 1-12 5-6
Neutral 2-2 4-3
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L7 L1
Avg Pts For 68.1 76.0
Avg Pts Against 75.2 72.3
Massey -0.1 (#175) 2.7 (#125)
Bradley-Terry -0.45 (#225) 0.96 (#100)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.43 (#209) 1.19 (#107)
RPI 0.429 (#286) 0.548 (#103)
Shooting & Four Factors SJSU SCU
FG% 45.5% 46.7%
3PT% 35.1% 34.0%
REB / G 32.7 38.8
OREB / G 8.0 11.2
AST / TO 1.19 1.06
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 52.9%
TOV% 15.7% 19.3%
ORB% 23.3% 32.0%
FT Rate 17.1% 20.2%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.4% 47.1%
Opp TOV% 17.0% 15.7%
DRB% 69.9% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 20.3%

Game Analysis

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