Betting Lines
| Spread | SCU -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SCU +22 | 136 | Lost |
| Massey | SCU -2.9 (-19.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SCU -4.4 (-17.6) | 144.9 (-8.9) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJSU -0.6 (-22.6) | 147.2 (-11.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SCU -0.5 (-21.5) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SCU -0.6 (-21.4) | 147.3 (-11.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | SJSU 81 – 78 SCU |
| Dec 10, 2022 | SJSU 75 – 64 SCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJSU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 1-17 | 10-5 |
| Home | 7-9 | 14-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 62.5 | 77.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 71.9 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#215) | 5.4 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.48 (#140) | 0.47 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.11 (#172) | 0.91 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.526 (#127) | 0.521 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJSU | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 41.1% | 37.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 55.5% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.2% | 23.0% |
| FT Rate | 14.9% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.6% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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