Betting Lines
| Spread | VILL -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VILL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VILL +21 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | VILL -5.0 (+16.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (+0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VILL -2.7 (+18.3) | 135.8 (-2.8) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VILL -4.5 (+16.5) | 132.4 (+0.6) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VILL -2.6 (+18.4) | 135.5 (-2.5) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VILL -2.2 (+18.8) | 136.8 (-3.8) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 26, 2020 | VILL 76 – 67 BC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VILL | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 9-11 |
| Home | 10-4 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#133) | -2.9 (#226) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#205) | -0.27 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#177) | -0.09 (#187) |
| RPI | 0.482 (#207) | 0.483 (#206) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VILL | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 14.0% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.9% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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