Betting Lines
| Spread | WVU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | WVU -225 UAB +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WVU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WVU +11 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WVU -10.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (-8.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WVU -10.2 (+0.8) | 157.1 (-6.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WVU -8.8 (+2.2) | 153.5 (-2.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WVU -9.9 (+1.1) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WVU -10.4 (+0.6) | 156.3 (-5.3) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 18, 2021 | WVU 65 – 59 UAB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WVU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 29-10 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.0 | 80.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.9 | 70.7 |
| Massey | 16.7 (#8) | 11.4 (#35) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.25 (#34) | 1.17 (#88) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.64 (#17) | 1.61 (#94) |
| RPI | 0.618 (#34) | 0.553 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WVU | UAB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 47.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 42.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 33.3% | 37.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.8% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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