Now she's with one of my good-time buddies, they're drinking in some crosstown bar. "Whipping Post" - The Allman Brothers
Legacy Arena at BJCC · December 18, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread UAB -3.5 Away covered
O/U 133.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total UAB win
Actual WVU +6 124 Lost
Massey UAB -10.1 (-16.1) — —
Massey Totals — 134.0 (-10.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 65% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 78% ✗
Baseline Plus ML UAB -8.2 (-14.2) 137.5 (-13.5) 74% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ UAB -6.9 (-12.9) 138.0 (-14.0) 71% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML UAB -8.5 (-14.5) 136.2 (-12.2) 76% ✗
Baseline ML UAB -8.2 (-14.2) 135.3 (-11.3) 76% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2022 WVU 81 – 70 UAB

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings UAB WVU
Neutral 4-2 3-1
Last 5 4-1 5-0
Massey 11.7 (#28) 6.3 (#78)
Bradley-Terry 2.26 (#35) 2.50 (#29)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.13 (#39) 2.86 (#42)
RPI 0.609 (#35) 0.600 (#43)
Shooting & Four Factors UAB WVU
FG% 46.1% 45.0%
3PT% 36.3% 31.4%
REB / G 36.4 33.2
OREB / G 12.6 12.0
AST / TO 1.24 0.97
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.7% 50.2%
TOV% 16.0% 17.7%
ORB% 34.2% 33.8%
FT Rate 19.0% 19.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 46.8% 49.1%
Opp TOV% 26.8% 27.6%
DRB% 67.8% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 23.6% 16.9%

Game Analysis

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