Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -39.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +53 | 175 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -44.4 (+8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (+33.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -37.1 (+15.9) | 146.9 (+28.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -27.7 (+25.3) | 149.3 (+25.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -25.4 (+27.6) | 144.8 (+30.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -34.8 (+18.2) | 145.6 (+29.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2021 | CONN 93 – 40 LIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-8 | 3-26 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 1-15 |
| Home | 15-2 | 2-10 |
| Away | 6-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | W6 | L8 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 64.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 81.9 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#2) | -16.8 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.44 (#1) | -2.90 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.55 (#1) | -4.72 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.682 (#3) | 0.433 (#280) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | LIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 37.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.7% | 42.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 22.5% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 29.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 41.4% | 55.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 65.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.5% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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