Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -400 EWU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +1 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -10.3 (-9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -7.0 (-6.0) | 139.2 (+13.8) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -6.7 (-5.7) | 138.5 (+14.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -6.5 (-5.5) | 140.0 (+13.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -8.9 (-7.9) | 138.2 (+14.8) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 8, 2024 | SDST 74 – 53 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 23-11 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 16-2 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-1 |
| Away | 6-9 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#173) | -4.7 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#166) | -1.38 (#292) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#195) | -2.25 (#307) |
| RPI | 0.513 (#155) | 0.422 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 5.9 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 23.2% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 19.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 76.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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