Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -600 EWU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +21 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -10.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.8 (-28.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -10.8 (+10.2) | 150.4 (-23.4) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -10.9 (+10.1) | 150.5 (-23.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -11.3 (+9.7) | 148.7 (-21.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -8.7 (+12.3) | 145.1 (-18.1) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | SDST 77 – 76 EWU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 8-6 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 76.3 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#95) | -1.5 (#189) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#128) | -0.70 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#96) | -0.62 (#205) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#155) | 0.455 (#248) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 51.9% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 58.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 78.4% | 63.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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