Betting Lines
| Spread | QUIN -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | QUIN -300 LAF +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUIN +13 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | QUIN -10.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUIN -9.3 (+3.7) | 132.2 (+6.8) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUIN -8.8 (+4.2) | 130.8 (+8.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUIN -9.8 (+3.2) | 131.0 (+8.0) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUIN -9.5 (+3.5) | 131.4 (+7.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 21, 2023 | QUIN 78 – 60 LAF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 9-6 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 65.6 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#131) | -3.0 (#229) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#109) | -2.85 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.36 (#105) | -3.75 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.493 (#192) | 0.410 (#311) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 40.4 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.2% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.0% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.7% |
Game Analysis
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