Let fury have the hour / Anger can be power. "Clampdown" - The Clash
Kirby Sports Center · December 21, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread QUIN -5.0 Away covered
O/U 139.0 Under
Money LAF +170 / QUIN -205
Model Predictions
Spread Total LAF win
Actual QUIN +18 138 Lost
Massey QUIN -2.0 (-16.0) — —
Massey Totals — 137.9 (+0.1) —
Bradley-Terry — — 10% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 6% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ QUIN -2.8 (-15.2) 138.2 (-0.2) 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML QUIN -3.7 (-14.3) 136.4 (+1.6) 36% ✓
Baseline ML QUIN -4.3 (-13.7) 137.7 (+0.3) 31% ✓
Baseline Plus ML QUIN -3.8 (-14.2) 140.2 (-2.2) 33% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2022 QUIN 76 – 63 LAF

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings LAF QUIN
Overall 11-21 24-10
Conference 10-8 15-5
Home 5-10 13-3
Away 6-9 10-5
Neutral 0-2 1-2
Last 5 0-5 3-2
Streak L5 L2
Avg Pts For 62.6 76.2
Avg Pts Against 67.8 71.9
Massey -10.5 (#331) -3.9 (#247)
Bradley-Terry -3.16 (#353) -0.04 (#183)
W. Bradley-Terry -4.35 (#352) -0.45 (#214)
RPI 0.390 (#339) 0.477 (#204)
Shooting & Four Factors LAF QUIN
FG% 37.8% 43.1%
3PT% 29.1% 34.3%
REB / G 32.8 37.0
OREB / G 9.4 10.3
AST / TO 1.00 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 44.3% 49.2%
TOV% 19.8% 17.7%
ORB% 25.5% 29.9%
FT Rate 14.3% 27.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.4% 49.8%
Opp TOV% 17.8% 15.6%
DRB% 69.2% 74.0%
Opp FT Rate 25.7% 16.1%

Game Analysis

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