Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UNLV -130 WSU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNLV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNLV +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WSU -0.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNLV -0.3 (+3.7) | 137.4 (+6.6) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WSU -0.7 (+4.7) | 135.1 (+8.9) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNLV -0.8 (+3.2) | 134.9 (+9.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNLV -0.8 (+3.2) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 45% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNLV | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-4 |
| Away | 5-5 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 8.5 (#56) | 9.0 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.29 (#9) | -0.22 (#203) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.54 (#10) | 0.15 (#169) |
| RPI | 0.664 (#6) | 0.487 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNLV | WSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.8% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 29.6% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 75.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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