Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | GASO +200 WOF -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GASO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GASO +22 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -5.3 (+27.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (-0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.0 (+25.0) | 140.4 (-4.4) | 34% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.6 (+27.6) | 135.3 (+0.7) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.1 (+26.1) | 137.1 (-1.1) | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.6 (+25.6) | 139.2 (-3.2) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 21, 2021 | WOF 70 – 52 GASO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GASO | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 3-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#330) | 0.7 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.92 (#264) | 0.37 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.65 (#283) | 0.96 (#125) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#233) | 0.505 (#171) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GASO | WOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 6.2 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 17.4% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 14.4% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 76.4% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 13.8% |
Game Analysis
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