Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.0 Under |
| Money | WOF -320 GASO +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +18 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -3.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.4 (-16.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 38% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -3.0 (+15.0) | 139.7 (-17.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -4.6 (+13.4) | 134.2 (-12.2) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -4.0 (+14.0) | 135.7 (-13.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -3.6 (+14.4) | 139.2 (-17.2) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | GASO 79 – 57 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 13-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 63.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 67.6 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#131) | 6.7 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.04 (#191) | 2.19 (#28) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.15 (#182) | 3.23 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.443 (#248) | 0.554 (#120) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | GASO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 51.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 37.0% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 57.9% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 30.3% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 36.9% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 22.6% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.9% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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