Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | FOR -1000 BING +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +15 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -18.4 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -14.6 (+0.4) | 143.1 (-4.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -14.5 (+0.5) | 143.9 (-4.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -13.5 (+1.5) | 144.5 (-5.5) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -13.5 (+1.5) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2024 | FOR 78 – 63 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 8-8 |
| Home | 18-2 | 8-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 1.3 (#151) | -11.9 (#342) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.02 (#43) | -2.43 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.43 (#60) | -3.74 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.599 (#54) | 0.390 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 75.7% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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