Betting Lines
| Spread | FOR -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | FOR -1600 BING +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FOR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FOR +15 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | FOR -14.7 (+0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.7 (-3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FOR -6.9 (+8.1) | 137.6 (+3.4) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FOR -8.0 (+7.0) | 140.3 (+0.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FOR -6.8 (+8.2) | 140.6 (+0.4) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FOR -8.0 (+7.0) | 140.6 (+0.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | FOR 77 – 62 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FOR | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 7-9 |
| Home | 8-8 | 9-4 |
| Away | 2-10 | 5-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.5 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 73.0 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#227) | -6.1 (#294) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#40) | -0.65 (#258) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.52 (#68) | -0.89 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.738 (#37) | 0.500 (#125) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FOR | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 36.4% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 23.6% | 23.4% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 23.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 59.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 8.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.8% | 36.2% |
Game Analysis
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