Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +400 LIP -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +4 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | LIP -7.2 (+11.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (-34.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -5.4 (+9.4) | 146.8 (-24.8) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -5.9 (+9.9) | 149.0 (-27.0) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -6.1 (+10.1) | 150.3 (-28.3) | 36% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -7.4 (+11.4) | 146.4 (-24.4) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIP 92 – 58 AAMU |
| Dec 1, 2024 | LIP 82 – 44 AAMU |
| Nov 18, 2023 | LIP 106 – 81 AAMU |
| Dec 31, 2021 | LIP 66 – 63 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 20-13 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 5-8 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#334) | 1.3 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.36 (#350) | 1.14 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.95 (#352) | 1.45 (#100) |
| RPI | 0.295 (#362) | 0.596 (#57) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.1% | 48.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 30.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 13.5% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 61.9% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.5% | 20.2% |
Game Analysis
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