Betting Lines
| Spread | LIP -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | AAMU +500 LIP -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +38 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | LIP -10.1 (-27.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-22.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIP -9.0 (-29.0) | 143.1 (-17.1) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIP -8.2 (-29.8) | 142.4 (-16.4) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIP -6.8 (-31.2) | 145.6 (-19.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIP -8.4 (-29.6) | 147.1 (-21.1) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2025 | LIP 92 – 58 AAMU |
| Nov 18, 2023 | LIP 106 – 81 AAMU |
| Dec 10, 2022 | AAMU 63 – 59 LIP |
| Dec 31, 2021 | LIP 66 – 63 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 8-9 | 15-3 |
| Away | 2-12 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.3 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | -15.2 (#355) | 0.5 (#153) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.27 (#354) | -0.85 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.81 (#354) | -0.59 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.294 (#363) | 0.450 (#266) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.4% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 25.9% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 14.9% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 28.5% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.0% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.3% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 60.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.5% | 12.2% |
Game Analysis
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