Betting Lines
| Spread | WMU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | WMU +100 UIC +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +6 | 118 | Lost |
| Massey | UIC -1.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-26.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -1.2 (-4.8) | 141.5 (-23.5) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -0.7 (-5.3) | 143.5 (-25.5) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -0.9 (-5.1) | 142.8 (-24.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -0.3 (-5.7) | 142.9 (-24.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 16, 2023 | UIC 89 – 68 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WMU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-23 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 4-16 |
| Home | 7-7 | 7-8 |
| Away | 1-15 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -11.2 (#336) | -4.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.42 (#333) | -1.11 (#275) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.67 (#337) | -1.83 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#351) | 0.467 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WMU | UIC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.8% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 32.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 23.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 21.3% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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