Betting Lines
| Spread | UIC -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | UIC -700 WMU +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UIC +21 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | UIC -16.9 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.5 (+24.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UIC -10.6 (+10.4) | 132.4 (+24.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UIC -13.5 (+7.5) | 132.3 (+24.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UIC -13.2 (+7.8) | 132.5 (+24.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UIC -12.8 (+8.2) | 131.1 (+25.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | UIC 62 – 56 WMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIC | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 9-9 |
| Home | 6-9 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 69.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.3 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#89) | -6.7 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#141) | -1.93 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.32 (#98) | -2.71 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#107) | 0.401 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIC | WMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 16.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 66.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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