Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | NE -600 HC +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +1 | 117 | Won |
| Massey | NE -12.9 (-11.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.8 (-17.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -9.9 (-8.9) | 136.8 (-19.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | NE -10.2 (-9.2) | 135.7 (-18.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | NE -9.8 (-8.8) | 136.0 (-19.0) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -10.9 (-9.9) | 135.6 (-18.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | HC 76 – 59 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 7-11 |
| Home | 6-6 | 6-9 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.3 | 65.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 73.1 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#281) | -13.6 (#353) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.34 (#291) | -3.38 (#352) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#282) | -4.61 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#264) | 0.388 (#331) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.4% | 44.8% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 32.1% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 14.1% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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