Betting Lines
| Spread | DEP -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | DEP -278 UTEP +222 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +21 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | DEP -6.4 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (+12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEP -5.1 (+15.9) | 147.7 (+13.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEP -6.0 (+15.0) | 147.2 (+13.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEP -4.5 (+16.5) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEP -4.1 (+16.9) | 148.5 (+12.5) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 11-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.2 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#188) | -1.4 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#155) | 1.06 (#95) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#160) | 1.23 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.548 (#107) | 0.542 (#113) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 22.2% |
| REB / G | 34.3 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 0.66 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 32.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 23.4% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 64.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.