Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | LAS -163 DREX +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LAS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +7 | 123 | Lost |
| Massey | LAS -3.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.6 (-7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LAS -3.4 (-10.4) | 136.0 (-13.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LAS -2.3 (-9.3) | 134.8 (-11.8) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LAS -3.8 (-10.8) | 137.1 (-14.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LAS -3.3 (-10.3) | 136.0 (-13.0) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | LAS 69 – 64 DREX |
| Nov 16, 2024 | LAS 71 – 68 DREX |
| Nov 7, 2023 | LAS 67 – 61 DREX |
| Dec 12, 2020 | LAS 58 – 48 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LAS | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 10-8 |
| Home | 8-7 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.0 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#235) | -1.6 (#208) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#179) | -1.06 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#196) | -0.88 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#143) | 0.455 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LAS | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 27.2% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 17.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 14.1% |
Game Analysis
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