Betting Lines
| Spread | LAS -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | DREX +155 LAS -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +3 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -8.6 (-11.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.3 (+3.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -4.3 (-7.3) | 135.6 (+3.4) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -5.2 (-8.2) | 133.2 (+5.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -5.6 (-8.6) | 133.8 (+5.2) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -5.3 (-8.3) | 132.2 (+6.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | LAS 69 – 64 DREX |
| Nov 7, 2023 | LAS 67 – 61 DREX |
| Dec 10, 2022 | DREX 65 – 58 LAS |
| Dec 12, 2020 | LAS 58 – 48 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-7 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-1 | 3-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.6 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#100) | 3.9 (#107) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#174) | 1.37 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#173) | 1.79 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.479 (#207) | 0.794 (#13) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 43.5 | 43.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.45 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 39.4% |
| FT Rate | 16.3% | 32.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 40.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.2% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 78.5% | 78.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.2% | 13.5% |
Game Analysis
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