Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | DREX -160 LAS +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DREX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LAS +10 | 106 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -13.7 (-23.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.5 (-17.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -10.0 (-20.0) | 124.4 (-18.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -10.8 (-20.8) | 131.5 (-25.5) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -11.2 (-21.2) | 129.5 (-23.5) | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -12.0 (-22.0) | 129.2 (-23.2) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | LAS 69 – 64 DREX |
| Nov 16, 2024 | LAS 71 – 68 DREX |
| Nov 7, 2023 | LAS 67 – 61 DREX |
| Dec 10, 2022 | DREX 65 – 58 LAS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DREX | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-8 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 4-5 | 6-11 |
| Home | 3-2 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.3 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 74.0 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#86) | -3.1 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#130) | -1.72 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.60 (#185) | -2.21 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.611 (#48) | 0.388 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DREX | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 24.0% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 21.5% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.2% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 81.7% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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