Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | UNF -333 BCU +320 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +40 | 136 | Won |
| Massey | UNF -7.2 (+32.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (-13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -6.1 (+33.9) | 148.4 (-12.4) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -6.9 (+33.1) | 147.9 (-11.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -5.6 (+34.4) | 146.5 (-10.5) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -6.1 (+33.9) | 148.6 (-12.6) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2022 | UNF 87 – 85 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UNF | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 11-2 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.8 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -6.6 (#293) | -8.5 (#315) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.49 (#226) | -0.94 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#206) | -1.43 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#175) | 0.457 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UNF | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 37.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 18.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 60.2% | 62.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 20.0% |
Game Analysis
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