Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | BCU +188 UNF -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +2 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -5.8 (+3.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+25.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -3.3 (+1.3) | 146.8 (+25.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -5.5 (+3.5) | 149.4 (+22.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -4.5 (+2.5) | 145.9 (+26.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -4.0 (+2.0) | 146.1 (+25.9) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | UNF 88 – 48 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 9-9 |
| Home | 8-5 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 74.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 79.0 |
| Massey | -15.5 (#355) | -4.8 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#310) | -0.64 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.13 (#312) | -0.69 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.369 (#354) | 0.488 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.7% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.5% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 25.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.0% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 63.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.