Betting Lines
| Spread | WICH -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | WICH -333 LONG +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WICH +18 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | WICH -6.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.1 (+20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WICH -5.4 (+12.6) | 133.0 (+11.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WICH -4.9 (+13.1) | 135.4 (+8.6) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WICH -4.2 (+13.8) | 132.7 (+11.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WICH -4.8 (+13.2) | 133.8 (+10.2) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-9 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 66.4 |
| Massey | 3.9 (#103) | 2.9 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#129) | -0.98 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#120) | -1.05 (#251) |
| RPI | 0.552 (#99) | 0.438 (#269) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 27.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 25.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.0% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 71.5% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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